Is It Time to Cash Out?

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Panic 2008... Profit 2009!

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With all of the concern over the credit crisis, the bailout package, and the troubles facing Corporate America in general, let's not forget what the average working American is now facing:

  • A recession that may last through 2009.
  • Rising inflation.
  • A stock portfolio piling up huge losses.
  • Stagnant or declining home values.
  • The cancellation of that Christian Slater show.

I hate to be a downer
That's a not-exactly-rosy picture. Belts are tightening in households across the country, and for good reason: This is a downturn without much precedent. I don't believe there's a question of whether we'll bounce back from this, but there's no clear answer on when that'll be.

But there's one thing you should absolutely avoid, if at all possible. It's a decision that will save you tens of thousands of dollars and allow you to retire earlier. Please, if you are debt-free, and have emergency money set aside, please don't cash out your 401(k).

Seem obvious? Think again. A 2005 survey from Hewitt Associates showed that almost half of employees took a cash distribution of their 401(k) plan when leaving a company. Not because they needed the cash for a new roof or medical care, but simply because they were switching jobs! And these aren't recent college grads with less than one month's rent in the account -- 42% of those who cashed out were aged 40-49!

The not-so-golden years
According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the average American will have 10 jobs between ages 18 and 38. When leaving one job for another, you have the choice to cash out your 401(k), keep your account with the old employer, or roll it over to the new employer or into an IRA.

Unfortunately, too many folks are shooting their retirement in the foot. Taking what may look like the road with less paperwork will end up costing you big time in the end. In fact, Motley Fool Rule Your Retirement advisor Robert Brokamp has said that cashing out your 401(k) is among the worst possible financial moves you can make, for many reasons:

  1. Investors face an automatic 10% early withdrawal penalty if they are younger than 59 1/2.
  2. Because of IRS rules, employers have to hold back 20% of your account balance for taxes.
  3. Retirement accounts are protected in the event that your company (or you) declared bankruptcy.
  4. Most importantly, even if your account balance is relatively small, you're cheating yourself from years of compounding interest. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, workers will have to save three times as much per month for every 10 years they delay.

Ouch.

This is an especially bad move now
Cashing out is extremely tempting -- especially if you've seen the value of your portfolio decline in recent months. But point No. 4 above is a major reason why you should be looking to add to your 401(k)s right now.

That's right, adding to. I know things have been brutal for the past year, but it's a fantastic time to be a net buyer of stocks or funds right now. Warren Buffett has said as much (in a New York Times op-ed), and his holding company has been putting cash to use by taking stakes in Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEG), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), and General Electric (NYSE: GE).

This is a buyer's market. Many institutional investors have to sell, and in the process, they're some great businesses down to prices that may well fall below their intrinsic value. The beauty of the 401(k) is that it allows you to dollar-cost average into a great funds such as, say, Bridgeway Large Cap Growth (BRLGX). This fund has had a tough year, but manager John Montgomery is one of the best in the business. His fund currently owns a few solid businesses that've been hit hard: Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), and Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN). Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), down only about 25% year to date, is also a top 25 holding.  

These are sound business built for the long run. By sticking them in your retirement plan -- and by allowing dollar-cost averaging to limit your itch to try to time the market -- you'll be getting a heck of a lot more shares of these great businesses, which you can allow to compound for years.

On the road to retirement
Of course, my long-term bullishness in no way disregards the seriousness of the current economic climate. But unless you're in debt or have cash emergencies right now, cashing out your 401(k) will probably be a terrible impediment to a happy retirement.

Never forget the rules of investing, as set forth by Foolish retirement expert Robert Brokamp:

  • If you need the money in the next year, it should be in cash.
  • If you need the money in the next one to five (or even seven) years, choose safe, income-producing investments such as Treasuries, CDs, or bonds.
  • Any money you don't need for more than seven years is a candidate for the stock market.    

Live by these rules, and you'll thank yourself down the road.

Advice from the pros
Need help making educated decisions about your retirement -- and staying disciplined throughout market turmoil? Robert and the Rule Your Retirement service may be able to help. For model portfolios, expense planning, and estate and tax tips, check it out free of charge for 30 days. We offer a free trial with no obligation to subscribe. Just click here for more details.

Claire Stephanic owns shares of Apple. The Fool owns shares of Bridgeway Large Cap Growth. Apple and Amazon are Stock Advisor recommendations. Microsoft and Coke are Inside Value recommendations. Bridgeway Large Cap Growth is a Champion Funds recommendation. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 19, 2008, at 1:46 AM, TimothyVR wrote:

    I am certainly in agreement on this, but I know I can only speak for myself.

    The reason I signed up with the Motley Fool was because I watched an old video of the two of them that was made for public television several years ago; it was at the same time that I realized I had to get serious about investing. So I am new here, and new to investing on a site where most people (I would assume) have been doing this for years and know a great deal about it.

    I increased the contributions from my 401K to the maximum of 9% two years ago; it is matched at the same level, and I am determined to find out everything I can about the funds I have. I am not a young man, but I have about 18 years until retirement, so at least there is a small window of time.

    I'm not sure how many Americans are completely debt free. Maybe many here are. My debt is manageable, but there are more and more people who either have to raid their retirememt fund - or not eat.

  • Report this Comment On November 19, 2008, at 8:06 AM, pedorrero wrote:

    I did essentially what the article warns against (cashing out an IRA = 401K) in early 2004, not because I needed the cash, but because I don't trust the government. Most of that money had been in gold stocks, and nearly all of it went into gold coins at around $425/oz. To date, this has proven a very wise investment move. In my case, I do it as a hedge against the ills of the stock and bond market, where most of "my" retirement money is invested, and in my case, over which I have no control.

  • Report this Comment On November 19, 2008, at 12:04 PM, vest0r2 wrote:

    The "safe" stocks I have in what's left of my 401(k) are steadily declining in value. It's like watching air being let out of a toy balloon.

    If I'd cashed out everything in August of 2007 I'd be a lot better off today.

  • Report this Comment On November 21, 2008, at 2:10 PM, freddyv3 wrote:

    My SEP IRA is almost all short the market via the SDS ETF and is up over 50% in the past year. I expect much more on the downside but for those who aren't as brave I suggest you continue to add to your retirement fund, especially when the market is heading lower.

    Here is a strategy that can't miss in a voilatile market but will limit your returns in a nice, slow moving bull market: invest half your stock portfolio in a short ETF such as SDS and invest the other half in a long ETF such as SPY. Do the math; you will make money if the market goes up OR down and if you continually readjust the 50/50 balance when it goes out of balance by 10-20%, you can do quite well as the market jumps up and down.

    Do the math: if the market goes up 20% you will gain 20% on the long side and lose 10% on the short side. If it goes down 20% you will gain 40% on the short position and lose 20% long.

    Now you're thinking that it can't wok or everyone would use it and you would be correct in that in a normal, non-violatile martket it would only limit your returns but in a voilatile market it keeps you safe and profitable.

    --Fred Voetsch

  • Report this Comment On November 21, 2008, at 3:10 PM, artistx wrote:

    I liked that Christian Slater show (My Own Worst Enemy). Maybe that should be the title of this article.

  • Report this Comment On November 23, 2008, at 4:52 PM, journeywithme wrote:

    It is not a pretty sight to watch your retirement savings dwindle down to almost nothing. But, I think the best thing to do is to learn from this opportunity. Could we have chosen investments that could have "weathered the storm" better, could we have been more proactive in reviewing our portfolios on a more consistent basis and possbily making re-allocations based on the present economy and the direction it was heading? Maybe, everything will workout ok in the long run and the businesses we have invested in will do just fine.

    Through all of this, what may seem chaos and confusion, let us emerge more disciplined and intellegent investors.

    Be well.

    http://ourstockmarketjourney.blogspot.com/

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